Are U.S. Military Interventions Contagious Over Time?: Intervention Timing and its Implications for Force Planning download pdf

Jennifer Kavanagh: Are U.S. Military Interventions Contagious Over Time?: Intervention Timing and its Implications for Force Planning

Are U.S. Military Interventions Contagious Over Time?: Intervention Timing and its Implications for Force Planning


Description

Current DoD force planning processes assume that U.S. military interventions are serially independent over time. This report challenges this assumption, arguing that interventions occur in temporally dependent clusters in which the likelihood of an intervention depends on interventions in the recent past. Integrating the concept of temporal dependence into DoD planning processes could help planners develop more appropriate force estimates.


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Author: Jennifer Kavanagh
Number of Pages: 76 pages
Published Date: 14 Jun 2013
Publisher: RAND Corporation
Publication Country: United States
Language: English
ISBN: 9780833079015
Download Link: Click Here
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